\u3000Dr Martin Brown \u8a18\u8005\u306b\u3088\u308b2020-1-9\u8a18\u4e8b\u300cWhy the future of history still matters. An addendum\u300d\u3002
\n\u3000\u3000\u82f1\u56fd\u306e\u30cf\u30b1\u30c3\u30c8\u5c06\u8ecd\u304c\u66f8\u3044\u305f\u300e\u7b2c\u4e09\u6b21\u4e16\u754c\u5927\u6226\u300f\u3002\u672a\u6765\u53f2\u3001\u3068\u3044\u3046\u30b9\u30bf\u30a4\u30eb\u306e\u3001\u30c6\u30af\u30ce\u30fb\u30b9\u30ea\u30e9\u30fc\u3060\u3063\u305f\u300270\u5e74\u4ee3\u304b\u3089\u3088\u304f\u66f8\u304b\u308c\u305f\u30b8\u30e3\u30f3\u30eb\u3060\u304c\u2026\u2026\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u3000\u8a18\u8005\u306f\u3001\u30cf\u30b1\u30c3\u30c8\u304c\u3053\u308c\u3092\u66f8\u3044\u305f\u52d5\u6a5f\u306f\u653f\u6cbb\u7684\u306a\u5927\u8846\u30d7\u30ed\u30d1\u30ac\u30f3\u30c0\u3067\u3042\u3063\u305f\u3068\u8a3c\u660e\u3067\u304d\u308b\u3002
\n\u3000\u5f53\u6642\u3001\u82f1\u56fd\u5185\u3067\u3001\u3082\u3046\u30c7\u30bf\u30f3\u30c8\u6642\u4ee3\u306b\u306a\u3063\u305f\u3093\u3060\u304b\u3089\uff2e\uff21\uff34\uff2f\u304c\u30bd\u9023\u8ecd\u306b\u5bfe\u3059\u308b\u30ac\u30fc\u30c9\u3092\u9ad8\u304f\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u5fc5\u8981\u306f\u306a\u3044\u3068\u3044\u3046\u98a8\u6f6e\u304c\u3042\u308a\u3001\u305d\u308c\u306b\u5bfe\u6297\u3059\u308b\u5fc5\u8981\u3092\u611f\u3058\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u3000\u300c\u30cf\u30b1\u30c3\u30c8\u7814\u7a76\u300d\u3068\u533a\u5206\u3051\u3059\u3079\u304d\u8a55\u8ad6\u304c\u3001\u30ed\u30fc\u30ec\u30f3\u30b9\u30fb\u30d5\u30ea\u30fc\u30c9\u30de\u30f3\u3084\u3001\u30b8\u30a7\u30d5\u30ea\u30fc\u30fb\u30df\u30ab\u30a8\u30eb\u30ba\u3001\u30a2\u30c0\u30e0\u30fb\u30bb\u30a4\u30c3\u30d7\u3089\u306b\u3088\u3063\u3066\u66f8\u304b\u308c\u3066\u3082\u3044\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u3000\u30cf\u30b1\u30c3\u30c8\u306e\u6587\u66f8\u306f\u3001\u30ed\u30f3\u30c9\u30f3\u738b\u7acb\u5927\u5b66\u306e\u30ea\u30c7\u30eb\u30cf\u30fc\u30c8\u30bb\u30f3\u30bf\u30fc\u306b\u53ce\u8535\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3044\u308b\u304c\u3001\u305d\u308c\u3092\u78ba\u304b\u3081\u308b\u3068\u3001\u5f7c\u306f\u3001\u30bd\u9023\u8ecd\u306b\u5bfe\u3059\u308b\uff2e\uff21\uff34\uff2f\u306e\u62b5\u6297\u529b\u304c\u304a\u305d\u308d\u3057\u304f\u9650\u3089\u308c\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3068\u898b\u7a4d\u3082\u3063\u3066\u3044\u305f\u3053\u3068\u304c\u308f\u304b\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u3000\u30cf\u30b1\u30c3\u30c8\u306f\u3001\u3053\u306e\u5c0f\u8aac\u306e\u8349\u7a3f\u306e\u6bb5\u968e\u3067\u306f\u3001\u897f\u30c9\u30a4\u30c4\u99d0\u7559\u306e\uff2e\uff21\uff34\uff2f\u8ecd\u306f\u3044\u3063\u305f\u3093\u30d5\u30e9\u30f3\u30b9\u307e\u3067\u9000\u5374\u3055\u305b\u3089\u308c\u3066\u3057\u307e\u3063\u3066\u3001\u3075\u305f\u305f\u3073\u897f\u30c9\u30a4\u30c4\u3092\u53d6\u308a\u623b\u3059\u307e\u3067\u306b\uff12\u5e74\u4ee5\u4e0a\u304b\u304b\u3063\u305f\u3068\u3044\u3046\u3042\u3089\u3059\u3058\u3092\u8003\u3048\u3066\u3044\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u3000\u3082\u3057\u305d\u306e\u7dda\u3067\u5b8c\u6210\u3055\u305b\u3066\u3044\u305f\u306a\u3089\u3001\u66f8\u7c4d\u306f\u3001\uff2e\uff21\uff34\uff2f\u5404\u56fd\u9996\u8133\u3092\u4e0d\u5feb\u306b\u3057\u305f\u3060\u308d\u3046\u3053\u3068\u306f\u9593\u9055\u3044\u306a\u3044\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u3000\u30cf\u30b1\u30c3\u30c8\u3068\u5f7c\u306e\u57f7\u7b46\u5354\u529b\u8005\u30b0\u30eb\u30fc\u30d7\u306f\u3001\u3055\u307e\u3056\u307e\u306a\u30b7\u30ca\u30ea\u30aa\u3092\u691c\u8a0e\u3057\u305f\u300218\u65e5\u3067\u7d42\u308f\u308b\u96fb\u6483\u6226\u3002\uff11\u5e74\u4ee5\u4e0a\u306e\u9577\u671f\u6226\u3002\u6838\u5175\u5668\u304c\u6d77\u4e0a\u3084\u5b87\u5b99\u7a7a\u9593\u3060\u3051\u3067\u7206\u767a\u3002\u3042\u308b\u3044\u306f\u6838\u304c\uff2e\uff21\uff34\uff2f\u5185\u306e\u5c0f\u56fd\u306b\u8105\u3057\u3068\u3057\u3066\u843d\u3068\u3055\u308c\u308b\u3068\u3044\u3063\u305f\u30b1\u30fc\u30b9\u307e\u3067\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u3000\u3051\u3063\u304d\u3087\u304f\u300c\u6b27\u5dde\u9650\u5b9a\u3067\u3001\u52dd\u3066\u308b\u3001\u901a\u5e38\u6226\u4e89\u300d\u3068\u3044\u3046\u67a0\u5185\u306b\u304a\u3061\u3064\u3051\u305f\u306e\u3060\u304c\u3001\u30cf\u30b1\u30c3\u30c8\u3054\u672c\u4eba\u306b\u3068\u3063\u3066\u306f\u3001\u3053\u308c\u306f\u4e0d\u672c\u610f\u3060\u3063\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u3000\u3058\u3064\u306f\u30cf\u30b1\u30c3\u30c8\u306f\u8349\u7a3f\u3092\u7c73\u8ecd\u306e\u30a6\u30a3\u30ea\u30a2\u30e0\u30fb\u30c7\u30e5\u30d4\u30e5\u30a4\u5c06\u8ecd\uff081982\u306b\u30a8\u30a2\u30e9\u30f3\u30c9\u30d0\u30c8\u30eb\u3092\u307e\u3068\u3081\u308b\u3053\u3068\u306b\u306a\u308b\u4eba\uff09\u3068\u3001\u897f\u30c9\u30a4\u30c4\u306e\u9000\u5f79\u5c06\u8ecd\u30e6\u30eb\u30b2\u30f3\u30fb\u30d9\u30cd\u30c3\u30b1\u306b\u898b\u305b\u3066\u3044\u305f\u3002\u3059\u308b\u3068\uff12\u4eba\u3068\u3082\u3001\u3053\u308c\u3067\u306f\u5e0c\u671b\u304c\u306a\u3055\u3059\u304e\u308b\u3001\u3068\u30c0\u30e1\u51fa\u3057\u3057\u3066\u304d\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u3000\u305d\u306e\uff11\u5e74\u524d\u3001\u30d5\u30e9\u30f3\u30b9\u306e\u30b4\u30ea\u30b4\u30ea\u306e\u53cd\u5171\u5c06\u8ecd\u30ed\u30d9\u30fc\u30eb\u30fb\u30af\u30ed\u30b9\u304c\u300e\u9632\u5099\u306e\u306a\u3044\u30e8\u30fc\u30ed\u30c3\u30d1\uff1f\u300f\u3092\u516c\u520a\u3057\u3001\u305d\u3053\u3067\u306f\u30bd\u9023\u8ecd\u304c48\u6642\u9593\u3067\uff2e\uff21\uff34\uff2f\u306b\u52dd\u5229\u3057\u3066\u3057\u307e\u3046\u3068\u4e3b\u5f35\u3057\u3066\u3044\u3066\u3001\u591a\u6570\u306e\u4eba\u3005\u3092\u61a4\u6fc0\u3055\u305b\u3066\u3044\u305f\u306e\u3060\u3063\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u3000\u30cf\u30b1\u30c3\u30c8\u306e\u76ee\u7684\u610f\u8b58\u306f\u660e\u77ad\u3067\u3001\u8ab0\u306b\u3082\u96a0\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3044\u306a\u3044\u3002\u4e16\u8ad6\u3092\u559a\u8d77\u3057\u3001\u3082\u3063\u3068\u99d0\u72ec\u82f1\u8ecd\u306e\u901a\u5e38\u6226\u529b\u306b\u4e88\u7b97\u3092\u6295\u3058\u3066\u3044\u304b\u306a\u3044\u3068\u5371\u967a\u3060\u2015\u2015\u3068\u3001\u540c\u610f\u3057\u3066\u3082\u3089\u3044\u305f\u304b\u3063\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u3000\u82f1\u52b4\u50cd\u515a\u5185\u95a3\u306f1975\u5e74\u7248\u306e\u56fd\u9632\u767d\u66f8\u3067\u3001\u30c7\u30bf\u30f3\u30c8\u6642\u4ee3\u306a\u306e\u3060\u304b\u3089\u901a\u5e38\u6226\u529b\u306e\u4e88\u7b97\u306f\u524a\u6e1b\u3057\u3066\u3044\u3044\u3093\u3060\u3068\u3044\u3046\u65b9\u5411\u3092\u6253\u3061\u51fa\u3057\u3066\u3044\u305f\u3002\u307e\u3055\u306b\u3053\u306e\u767d\u66f8\u306b\u5bfe\u3059\u308b\u30a2\u30f3\u30c1\u30c6\u30fc\u30bc\u3068\u3057\u3066\u30cf\u30b1\u30c3\u30c8\u306e\u300e\u7b2c\u4e09\u6b21\u4e16\u754c\u5927\u6226\u300f\u306f\u66f8\u304b\u308c\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u3000\u30cf\u30b1\u30c3\u30c8\u306e\u6700\u7d42\u76ee\u6a19\u306f\u3001\u901a\u5e38\u6226\u529b\u306e\u518d\u5f37\u5316\u3001\u30e2\u30b9\u30af\u30ef\u306e\u52d5\u6a5f\u3092\u5065\u5168\u306b\u7591\u3044\u7d9a\u3051\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3001\uff2e\uff21\uff34\uff2f\u306e\u30ac\u30fc\u30c9\u3092\u9ad8\u304f\u7dad\u6301\u3055\u305b\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u3000\u304a\u3082\u3057\u308d\u3044\u3053\u3068\u306b\u3001\u30de\u30c3\u30af\u30b9\u30fb\u30d6\u30eb\u30c3\u30af\u30b9\u306e\u300e\u4e16\u754c\u6226\u4e89\uff3a\u300f\u306f\u3001\u30be\u30f3\u30d3\u9ed9\u793a\u9332\u306e\u672a\u6765\u8a18\u3060\u304c\u3001\u3053\u306e\u8457\u8005\u304c\u3001\u30cf\u30b1\u30c3\u30c8\u304b\u3089\u5f71\u97ff\u3092\u53d7\u3051\u305f\u3093\u3060\u3068\u8a00\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u3000\u305d\u306e\u30d6\u30eb\u30c3\u30af\u30b9\u306f\u4eca\u3001\u30a6\u30a7\u30b9\u30c8\u30dd\u30a4\u30f3\u30c8\u306e\u8fd1\u4ee3\u6226\u7814\u7a76\u6240\u306e\u30d5\u30a7\u30ed\u30fc\u3068\u306a\u3063\u3066\u304a\u308a\u3001\uff33\uff26\u3092\u901a\u3058\u3066\u8ecd\u4e8b\u79d1\u5b66\u3092\u6559\u6388\u3059\u308b\u30c6\u30ad\u30b9\u30c8\u3082\uff12\u518a\u3001\u5171\u7de8\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u3000\u6b21\u3002
\n\u3000Gregory B. Poling \u8a18\u8005\u306b\u3088\u308b2020-1-10\u8a18\u4e8b\u300cThe Conventional Wisdom on China\u2019s Island Bases Is Dangerously Wrong\u300d\u3002
\n\u3000\u3000\u3000\u3000\u4e2d\u5171\u306f\u7802\u76db\u5cf6\u3092\u8ecd\u4e8b\u57fa\u5730\u3068\u3057\u3066\u5bfe\u7c73\u6226\u4e89\u306b\u6d3b\u7528\u3057\u3088\u3046\u3068\u601d\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u308f\u3051\u3058\u3083\u306a\u3044\u3002
\n\u3000\u7802\u76db\u5cf6\u3092\u8db3\u304c\u304b\u308a\u3068\u3057\u3066\u3001\u5468\u8fba\u306b\u304a\u3051\u308b\u3001\u8ecd\u968a\u3067\u306f\u306a\u3044\u30d1\u30e9\u30df\u30ea\u30bf\u30ea\u30fc\u306a\u30d7\u30ec\u30c3\u30b7\u30e3\u30fc\u3092\uff2d\uff41\uff58\u306b\u3057\u3066\u3001\u6771\u5357\u30a2\u30b8\u30a2\u8af8\u56fd\u306b\u3001\u5357\u30b7\u30ca\u6d77\u306e\uff25\uff25\uff3a\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\u306e\u6a29\u5229\u8981\u6c42\u3092\u3042\u304d\u3089\u3081\u3055\u305b\u3088\u3046\u3068\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u306e\u3060\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u3000\u3057\u304b\u3057\u3001\u3059\u3067\u306b\u30b9\u30d7\u30e9\u30c8\u30ea\u30fc\u306e\uff13\u3064\u306e\u7802\u76db\u5cf6\u306b72\u68df\u306e\u822a\u7a7a\u6a5f\u683c\u7d0d\u5eab\u304c\u6574\u5099\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002\u30d1\u30e9\u30bb\u30eb\u306e\u30a6\u30c3\u30c7\u30a3\u5cf6\u306b\u306f16\u68df\u3060\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u3000\u6bd4\u5cf6\u6c96\u307e\u3067\u3001\u6c96\u7e04\u306e\u7c73\u7a7a\u8ecd\u57fa\u5730\u304b\u3089\u306f1300\u6d77\u91cc\u3001\u30b0\u30a1\u30e0\u304b\u3089\u306f1500\u6d77\u91cc\u3082\u3042\u308b\u3002
\n\u3000\u7dd2\u6226\u306e\u6709\u5229\u304c\u3069\u3063\u3061\u306b\u3042\u308b\u304b\u306f\u3001\u3042\u304d\u3089\u304b\u3060\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u3000\u30b9\u30d7\u30e9\u30c8\u30ea\u30fc\u306b\u306f\u30b7\u30ca\u8ecd\u306e\u30df\u30b5\u30a4\u30eb\u304c300\u57fa\u3001\u30a6\u30c3\u30c7\u30a3\u5cf6\u306b\u306f100\u57fa\u3001\u5c55\u958b\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002\u3000\u30c0\u30f3\u30ab\u30f3\u5cf6\u306b\u306f\u3001\u4e2d\u5171\u306f\u3001\u5bfe\u6f5c\u30d8\u30ea\u7528\u306e\u30d8\u30ea\u30dd\u30fc\u30c8\u3092\u6574\u5099\u3057\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n
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